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Tailgate up/down is very different than a tonneau cover or bed shell cap, isn't it? I'm skeptical of the full 10% gain as well, but I bet a cover gets you some improvement. But it seems you're comparing apples to oranges with the Mythbusters video & your question.
EDIT: I looked at the video again & forgot they also tested with a hard tonneau so scratch what I said above.
EDIT: I looked at the video again & forgot they also tested with a hard tonneau so scratch what I said above.